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Updated at 06:35 PM, September 01, 2023 (US Eastern Time)
The model is updated daily, so make sure to check in tomorrow for the next update!
| Rating |
Probability % |
GOP Colo(u)r |
Dem Colo(u)r |
Indy Colo(u)r |
| Safe |
95.0% or more |
|
|
|
| Likely |
95.0% to 75.0% |
|
|
|
| Lean |
75.0% to 55.0% |
|
|
|
| Tossup |
55.0% or less |
|
|
|
KENTUCKY 2023
MODEL
February 26, 2023: Healthcare added to list of ideologies considered by the model
Candidates: Andy Beshear (D), Daniel Cameron (R)
THE CALCULATOR
This "calculator" is based on the TI-84, copyright of Texas Instruments.
COUNTY MAP
Based off of prior elections (benchmarks) combined with regional candidate strengths.
Base map is derived from Wikimedia Commons.
COUNTY INTERACTIVE TABLE
MODEL RUNS OVER TIME
SOURCES AND THANKS