Published at 5:38 PM, April 03, 2023 (US Eastern Time)
This model uses special methodology; it (mostly) uses primary results combined with precinct-level turnout changes to try and predict the general election.
Rating
Probability %
GOP Colo(u)r
Dem Colo(u)r
Indy Colo(u)r
Safe
95.0% or more
Likely
95.0% to 75.0%
Lean
75.0% to 55.0%
Tossup
55.0% or less
WISCONSIN 2023 MODEL THE CALCULATOR
This "calculator" is based on the TI-84, copyright of Texas Instruments.
COUNTY MAP Based off of a turnout model (which is in turn based off the February 21 primary). Base map is derived from Wikimedia Commons.